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1844 WILLIAM J SEWARD Lincoln’s US Secretary of State Autograph Letter Signed

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1844 WILLIAM J SEWARD Lincoln’s US Secretary of State Autograph Letter Signed
Autographs
“William H. Seward” Political Letter Regarding the Historic Memorable Presidential Election Campaign of 1844
WILLIAM H. SEWARD (1801-1872). U.S. Secretary of State under Lincoln, Negotiated “Seward’s Folly” the purchase of Alaska from Russia.
October 28, 1844-Dated, Outstanding Content Autograph Letter Signed, “William H. Seward,” 3 pages, measuring 8” x 10”, with its Original Integral Transmital Envelope upon the blank verso of last page. The fine quality period wove paper is in excellent condition, with only minor even tone and a small area torn from the envelope page opposite where this letter was sealed. The original red wax seal is almost entirely intact. Here, Seward writes to his friend, E.A. Stansbury, Esq., in full:

“(Private) --- Auburn (N.Y.) October 28th 1844 --- My dear Sir, ---

The multifarious duties in the present political exigency have prevented an earlier acknowledgment of the receipt of your letter of the 11th instant. It would be as unwise for me to prophecy the result of an election so near at hand as it was for the very learned Divine in your state to fix so short a day for the fulfilment of the Scriptures. I think that Mr. Clay has a chance in Pennsylvania and from Kentucky and Ohio I receive confident assurances of his success in Virginia which my own judgment does not quite admit. At the worst New York is a debatable state. Since this means Clay need but one and Mr. Polk all three of these states, the probabilities of the success of the plans are very strong and to my mind satisfactory.

But what of New York? I see the seething of the political cauldron as you see it, and I have the same difficulty in conjecting what will be the nature of the sediment. He is made, be he of whatever party he may, who confidently promises about it. The Masses who can be moved by arguments in favor of good administration and ultimate national security are thoroughly worried and will give a vast vote. On the other hand those who can be excited by personal prejudice; by fears of oppressive and persecutive aristocracy are roused and heated more than in 1840. I might not be quite easy to forsee the result if as heretofor it depended on the relative strength of these masses only. But there is the Liberty Party, which during the past three years has been suffering by our fault to withdraw from us more than any majority the Whig Party ever had. The party has had never a large portion of the naturalizing mass but always a few of that description which was worthy of respect and consideration. The horrible civil and religious intolerance in the cities of Philadelphia and New York fostered by too many Whigs has driven nearly all of the emigrant citizens from us. They say and I believe that the City will compensate for the loss by an equal majority of Native Americans in favor of Mr. Clay. I look to this result therefore though I need not say that in my opinion a triumph this won is - will be ruinous as it must be dishonorable. Now it is clear that the Whig party lose none except the voluntary citizens, while it gains somewhat form the Loco Focos, and in proportions must win from the Liberty Party. The Loco Focos gain in my judgment from the naturalized citizens as much as they lose to the Whigs, and lose to the Liberty Party though not considerably. The result of my beat observation is that the two chief parties will be nearly equal throughout the states except New York City and that the City decides the Election. I believe it will be Whig and therefore I expect with meaning confidence that the National and State tickets will be elected.

All this reasoning you have doubtless presumed by yourself but you may on the whole indulge a stronger hope then your letter expressed. But be the result what it may, there will be no reason to despond. Machiavelli advised that whoever would overthrow a Democracy should set it upon great enterprise, since Democracies are used to misconduct such enterprises. The acquisition of Texas is such an enterprise. But an agriculturally extended Democracy can recede very easily, and such will be the result of the first experience of embarrassment. We once conceived the great enterprise of conquering Canada, but abandoned it soon enough for safety.

My visit in the North was so hurried and under circumstances of so much concern that I saw less of you then I hoped when I left home. Nevertheless our acquaintance was quite long enough to create a conviction of great objectives, and I sincerely hope that when this great battle has been "lost or won" we may meet under more propitius circumstances. I never found time to correct those notes you so kindly took at Keenville but I felt none the less obliged for your consideration.

The mistake if it was so of Mr. Clay has been more than counterbalanced by the by the absurd blunder of Mr. Biney, and I feel quite confident that the cause of Emancipation practical will be benefitted by the success of our appeals to the pure and patriotic mass of the Liberty party not to reason it by factions adhere to the shadows set before them by the papers. --- I am very sincerely -- Your obldig friend and Servant -- (Signed) William H. Seward”.

This lot comes with a typed full transcript of this Letter upon the letterhead of the Lincoln Library, Shippensburg, PA. and a period Lithograph Print of Seward.